环境健康风险评估在空气质量指南与标准制修订中的应用
Application of environmental health risk assessment in the development and revision of air quality guidelines and standards
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摘要: 环境健康风险评估(environmental health risk assessment, EHRA)是空气质量指南与标准(air quality guidelines/standards, AQGs/AQSs)制定与修订的关键科学支撑。本文系统梳理了EHRA的基本框架与常用方法, 重点探讨其在AQGs/AQSs制定与更新过程中的具体应用, 并对比分析了国际典型实践案例与我国现状。结果表明, 国际实践已将EHRA深度融入标准制修订流程。我国虽在暴露评估、危害识别和剂量-反应关系构建等方面取得了显著进展, 但尚未将EHRA有效融入标准制定与修订的政策决策流程, 导致科学证据向政策转化的机制不畅, 缺乏基于本土科学证据的指南和标准。这已成为制约我国空气质量管理精细化和健康效益最大化的关键瓶颈。展望未来, 应着力建立健全风险评估结果的政策转化机制, 并在EHRA方法学层面实现突破, 重点攻克地方性标准构建、高精度暴露评估、多污染物复合健康效应识别、敏感人群差异性分析、新型污染物危害识别以及气候变化背景下的风险协同评估等关键技术难关, 切实支撑我国空气质量标准体系的科学完善, 助力"美丽中国"和"健康中国"战略目标的实现。Abstract: Environmental health risk assessment (EHRA) serves as a key scientific foundation for developing and revising air quality guidelines and standards(AQGs/AQSs). This review systematically outlines the EHRA framework and methodologies, with a focus on its specific applications in the development and updating of AQGs/AQSs. A comparative analysis is conducted between typical international practices and the current situation in China. The results indicate that international practices have deeply integrated EHRA into the standard development and revision process. While China has achieved notable progress in exposure assessment, hazard identification, and dose-response modeling, EHRA remains insufficiently integrated into the policy decision-making process for establishing and revising standards. This has led to an inadequate translation of scientific evidence into policy and a lack of guidelines and standards based on localized scientific evidence, which has become a key bottleneck restricting the refinement of air quality management and the maximization of health benefits in China. Future efforts should focus on establishing and improving the mechanism for translating risk assessment results into policy. Breakthroughs should also be pursued in EHRA methodologies. Key areas requiring technical breakthroughs include developing region-specific standards, enhancing high-precision exposure assessment, quantifying the combined health effects of pollutant mixtures, analyzing differential susceptibility among sensitive populations, identifying hazards of emerging pollutants, and assessing synergistic risks under climate change scenarios. Addressing these challenges is crucial for scientifically strengthening China's air quality standard system and advancing the strategic goals of "Beautiful China" and "Healthy China".
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